Keflavik 3-0 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Aug 2026

📅05/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.9pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.53/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.85
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
47.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
29.0 Crosses 22.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.77 xG 1.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
252 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-2 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
20.09.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-2 HT 3-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
24.07.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 3-4 HT 1-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
23.04.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
04.02.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
24.07.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 1-3 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
3-0
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.65 xG 0.81
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
251 Passes 356
34 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik swept aside KA Akureyri 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.65 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Keflavik and 2.17 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs KA Akureyri?

Keflavik 3-0 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 48%, draw 21%, KA Akureyri 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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