AGF Aarhus 2-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 5 Aug 2026

AGF Aarhus
2-1 HT 1-0
Sabah
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Champions League – 2026/2027

AGF Aarhus vs Sabah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AGF Aarhus v Sabah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

AGF Aarhus 2-1 Sabah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
2-1
AWAY Sabah
0.58 xG 1.06
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 Passes 374
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus nicked a narrow win over Sabah 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sabah.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Sabah?

AGF Aarhus 2-1 Sabah in the Champions League on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 48%, draw 24%, Sabah 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Under 2.5
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