Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sturm Graz
AVL
1-2
HT 1-2
Fenerbahçe
AVL
Fenerbahçe 2-0 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe saw off Sturm Graz 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.37 to 0.16.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.00 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
Fenerbahçe 2-0 Sturm Graz in the Champions League on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 64%, draw 20%, Sturm Graz 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.