Ferencvaros 1-0 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 5 Aug 2026

Ferencvaros
1-0 HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2026/2027

Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 26% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ferencvaros v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.64/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+37% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.2 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –

Ferencvaros 1-0 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-0
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.53 xG 0.79
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
413 Passes 312
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros edged past Gornik Zabrze 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.53 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze?

Ferencvaros 1-0 Gornik Zabrze in the UEFA Europa League on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 55%, draw 23%, Gornik Zabrze 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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