Aucas vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Libertad
EKV1
2-2
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 0-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad nicked a narrow win over Aucas 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Aucas had 61% of the ball to Libertad's 39%, shots finished 20-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aucas and 1.33 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Libertad?
Aucas 0-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Cup on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aucas 44%, draw 26%, Libertad 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aucas) went the other way.