Aucas vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Libertad
EKV1
2-2
HT 1-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 2-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas beat Libertad 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Aucas had 55% of the ball to Libertad's 45%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.34 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aucas and 2.00 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Libertad?
Aucas 2-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aucas 59%, draw 22%, Libertad 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.