Puntarenas FC 2-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
29.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.10.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
28.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-2 HT 1-2 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
20.04.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
19.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC edged past Guanacasteca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Puntarenas FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puntarenas FC and 2.00 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca?

Puntarenas FC 2-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Cup on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 47%, draw 27%, Guanacasteca 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puntarenas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puntarenas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTK More Costa Rica - Cup
5 Sep 2024
05:00 Alajuelense vs CD Escorpiones De Belen FC Analysis →
05:30 Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa Analysis →