Puntarenas FC 3-2 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.25/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.05
-14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
28.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-2 HT 1-2 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
20.04.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
19.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
26.09.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
28.05.2021 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-3 HT 1-3 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puntarenas FC
3-2
AWAY Guanacasteca
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC edged past Guanacasteca 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Puntarenas FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puntarenas FC had 51% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 49%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puntarenas FC and 1.83 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca?

Puntarenas FC 3-2 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 40%, draw 25%, Guanacasteca 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puntarenas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puntarenas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Jan 2024
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