Alajuelense 0-1 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.18
Over 2.5
41%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
42%
+17.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
58%
-17.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.01/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.01
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CS Cartagines
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.73 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
06.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
29.09.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-3 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense CONOAK
14.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 2-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
14.05.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
11.05.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 2-2 HT 1-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
0-1
AWAY CS Cartagines
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Cartagines edged past Alajuelense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alajuelense had 52% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 48%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Alajuelense 0-1 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 49%, draw 29%, CS Cartagines 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alajuelense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
29 Jan 2024
00:00 Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca Analysis →
04:00 Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles Analysis →