Municipal Liberia 5-0 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.78/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.24
-54% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Corners 6
18.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
13.08.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-3 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
5-0
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia cruised past Santos de Guapiles 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 61% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 39%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles?

Municipal Liberia 5-0 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 43%, draw 31%, Santos de Guapiles 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
29 Jan 2024
00:00 Puntarenas FC vs Guanacasteca Analysis →
01:00 Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines Analysis →