Portuguesa FC 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.9pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.0pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.50
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
19.6 Crosses 10.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.71 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 HT 0-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
24.07.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
23.04.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-2 HT 0-2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
01.07.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
20.05.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
05.12.2021 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
2-1
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
2.21 xG 1.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
340 Passes 220
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC edged past Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portuguesa FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 59% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 41%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.21 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portuguesa FC and 0.33 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Portuguesa FC 2-1 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 42%, draw 34%, Hermanos Colmenarez 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portuguesa FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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