San Miguel 1-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.51
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.7pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 25%
+22% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.54/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.42
+30% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Almagro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2025 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel and Almagro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Almagro?

San Miguel 1-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 37%, draw 31%, Almagro 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Miguel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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