Bulgaristan U21 3-0 Cebelitarık U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
85%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
10.3
2-3 Goals
34%
2.56
4-5 Goals
28%
2.19
6+ Goals
22%
2.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
85%
Home Win
85%
-0.3pp
10%
Draw
8%
+1.2pp
5%
Away Win
6%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulgaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Cebelitarık U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
5.38/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/3.74
+52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -21%
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
590 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.2
44.0 Crosses 4.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bulgaristan U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cebelitarık U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
5.38 xG 0.02
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
498 Passes 58
87% Pass Accuracy 37%
44 Crosses 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.06.2022 Cebelitarık U21 Cebelitarık U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 U21
08.10.2021 Bulgaristan U21 Bulgaristan U21 5-0 HT 4-0 Cebelitarık U21 Cebelitarık U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bulgaristan U21
3-0
AWAY Cebelitarık U21
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bulgaristan U21 vs Cebelitarık U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulgaristan U21 cruised past Cebelitarık U21 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bulgaristan U21 as the likeliest winner at 85%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bulgaristan U21 had 72% of the ball to Cebelitarık U21's 28%, shots finished 25-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bulgaristan U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bulgaristan U21 and 0.50 for Cebelitarık U21.

What was the final score of Bulgaristan U21 vs Cebelitarık U21?

Bulgaristan U21 3-0 Cebelitarık U21 in the European U21 on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulgaristan U21 vs Cebelitarık U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bulgaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 85%, with the full match-result split Bulgaristan U21 85%, draw 10%, Cebelitarık U21 5%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulgaristan U21), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bulgaristan U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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