Litvanya U21 0-4 Ukrayna U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.78
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
69%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
28%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+3.3pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.6pp
69%
Away Win
71%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya U21 EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.71/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/0.38
+13% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +56%
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
191 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Litvanya U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ukrayna U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.06.2012 Litvanya U21 Litvanya U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 U21
15.11.2011 Ukrayna U21 Ukrayna U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Litvanya U21 Litvanya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya U21
0-4
AWAY Ukrayna U21
0.52 xG 3.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
1 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
236 Passes 427
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Litvanya U21 vs Ukrayna U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna U21 cruised past Litvanya U21 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ukrayna U21 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Litvanya U21 had 38% of the ball to Ukrayna U21's 62%, shots finished 1-21, expected goals 0.52 to 3.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Litvanya U21 and 1.00 for Ukrayna U21.

What was the final score of Litvanya U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Litvanya U21 0-4 Ukrayna U21 in the European U21 on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya U21 vs Ukrayna U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Litvanya U21 14%, draw 17%, Ukrayna U21 69%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna U21), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ukrayna U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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