Portekiz U21 5-0 Azerbaycan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
86%
1.11
Draw
8%
8.78
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
11.25
2-3 Goals
29%
2.7
4-5 Goals
31%
2.19
6+ Goals
25%
2.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
86%
Home Win
85%
+0.4pp
8%
Draw
8%
-0.5pp
6%
Away Win
6%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.63/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/4.09
+25% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -21%
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
593 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 79%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
27.8 Crosses 2.3
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Azerbaycan U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners
09.09.2014 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 U21
15.10.2013 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 0-2 HT 0-0 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U21
5-0
AWAY Azerbaycan U21
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Portekiz U21 vs Azerbaycan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U21 ran out comfortable winners over Azerbaycan U21 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portekiz U21 as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%) came in.

On the day, Portekiz U21 had 67% of the ball to Azerbaycan U21's 33%, shots finished 21-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portekiz U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Portekiz U21 and 0.50 for Azerbaycan U21.

What was the final score of Portekiz U21 vs Azerbaycan U21?

Portekiz U21 5-0 Azerbaycan U21 in the European U21 on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U21 vs Azerbaycan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U21 86%, draw 8%, Azerbaycan U21 6%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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