Paderborn vs Freiburg Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Germany - Bundesliga, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Freiburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.86 xG 1.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 421
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 1-3 HT 0-2 Paderborn Paderborn AFK
25.01.2020 Freiburg Freiburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL1
24.08.2019 Paderborn Paderborn 1-3 HT 1-2 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
29.04.2016 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL2
22.11.2015 Freiburg Freiburg 4-1 HT 3-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
02.05.2015 Freiburg Freiburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL1
PREVIEW Paderborn vs Freiburg
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Freiburg, but not by enough to write Paderborn off.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paderborn and 1.83 for Freiburg.

Paderborn vs Freiburg Kick-off Time

Paderborn play Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/09/2026, kick-off 16:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Paderborn vs Freiburg Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Paderborn vs Freiburg is an Freiburg win at about 47% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Paderborn 28%, draw 25%, Freiburg 47%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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