Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Germany - Bundesliga, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
72%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
12%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Berlin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.83 xG 0.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
616 Passes 228
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2026 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-0 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
04.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
30.11.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
06.04.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
12.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
PREVIEW Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Bayer Leverkusen start as strong favourites on our numbers; Union Berlin's job is to make the game ugly early.

Both teams have scored in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 5 home league games, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Union Berlin's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Bayer Leverkusen against 0.33 for Union Berlin.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Kick-off Time

Bayer Leverkusen play Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/09/2026, kick-off 16:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin is a Bayer Leverkusen win at about 72% probability, priced 1.43 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Bayer Leverkusen 72%, draw 16%, Union Berlin 12%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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