Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2025

Bayer Leverkusen
0-0 HT 0-0
Union Berlin
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.69
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.7
X/1
13%
3.83
X/2
9%
15.05
X/X
10%
6.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.9
2/2
8%
13.1
2/X
6%
21.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-10.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.01/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.13
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
514 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.2 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Union Berlin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.80 xG 0.82
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
561 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
06.04.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
12.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
29.04.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
06.11.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 5-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
08.01.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 HT 1-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
0-0
AWAY Union Berlin
0.82 xG 0.53
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
645 Passes 168
92% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 16
48 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Bayer Leverkusen carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 74% of the ball to Union Berlin's 26%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.82 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.50 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?

Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 57%, draw 21%, Union Berlin 23%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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