Bochum 1-2 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.43
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.18
X/2
13%
6.25
X/X
11%
4.3
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.58
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.61/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.67
-18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.0 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Augsburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 Passes 229
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
03.02.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
02.09.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
13.05.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-2 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
12.11.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
24.04.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-2 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-2
AWAY Augsburg
2.80 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
334 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg edged past Bochum 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Augsburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bochum had 53% of the ball to Augsburg's 47%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.80 to 1.08 — on chances, Bochum could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bochum and 1.33 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Augsburg?

Bochum 1-2 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bochum 40%, draw 25%, Augsburg 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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