Augsburg vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Augsburg v Bochum — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bochum
AL1
3-2
HT 1-1
Augsburg
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Bochum
AL1
0-2
HT 0-2
Augsburg
AL1
2-3
HT 0-3
Bochum
AL1
Augsburg 1-0 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics
Augsburg squeezed past Bochum 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Augsburg had 53% of the ball to Bochum's 47%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.88 to 0.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Augsburg's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Augsburg and 1.67 for Bochum.
What was the final score of Augsburg vs Bochum?
Augsburg 1-0 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Bochum?
Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 46%, draw 23%, Bochum 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.