Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
5-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-2
HT 1-1
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen nicked a narrow win over Union Berlin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Union Berlin had 38% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 62%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Union Berlin and 2.17 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 25%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.