Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-3
Mönchengladbach
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Mönchengladbach
AL1
3-3
HT 0-2
Mönchengladbach
AL1
0-6
HT 0-6
Freiburg
AL1
Freiburg 3-1 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg beat Mönchengladbach 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Freiburg had 48% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 52%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.64 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Freiburg and 1.00 for Mönchengladbach.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach?
Freiburg 3-1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach?
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 45%, draw 24%, Mönchengladbach 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.