Bochum 1-1 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

Bochum
1-1 HT 1-0
Augsburg
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.2
X/1
18%
5.25
X/2
14%
6.39
X/X
9%
4.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.7
2/2
11%
4.15
2/X
5%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.86/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.42
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.5 Crosses 17.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bochum vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Augsburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 2.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
315 Passes 232
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
13.05.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-2 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
12.11.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
24.04.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-2 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
04.12.2021 Augsburg Augsburg 2-3 HT 0-3 Bochum Bochum AL1
27.10.2021 Bochum Bochum 2-2 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AFK

Bochum 1-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-1
AWAY Augsburg
0.93 xG 1.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
233 Passes 230
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum and Augsburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Bochum had 49% of the ball to Augsburg's 51%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.93 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bochum and 1.67 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Augsburg?

Bochum 1-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bochum 44%, draw 23%, Augsburg 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bochum), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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