Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
2-2
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
0-1
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
3-1
HT 2-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
Mainz 05 0-1 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics
Werder Bremen edged past Mainz 05 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 59% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 41%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 0.80 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.33 for Werder Bremen.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Mainz 05 0-1 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 41%, draw 27%, Werder Bremen 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mainz 05) went the other way.