Darmstadt 98 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 25% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
14.95
1/2
6%
22.6
1/X
7%
22.6
X/1
7%
18.95
X/2
25%
3.42
X/X
8%
7.57
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
24%
1.51
2/X
5%
22.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
11%
+13.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
55%
Away Win
71%
-16.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.73/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.93
-48% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +20%
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 538 · 85%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
18.8 Crosses 18.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.36 xG 2.83
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
173 Passes 487
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
05.04.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
05.11.2016 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
13.02.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
12.09.2015 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
0-2
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.57 xG 1.93
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
281 Passes 685
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen saw off Darmstadt 98 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 33% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 67%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.57 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 2.40 for Bayer Leverkusen.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Darmstadt 98 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 25%, draw 20%, Bayer Leverkusen 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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