Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holstein Kiel v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-0
Holstein Kiel
AL2
3-4
HT 1-1
St. Pauli
AL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Holstein Kiel
AL2
3-0
HT 3-0
St. Pauli
AL2
Holstein Kiel 1-2 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli edged past Holstein Kiel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day St. Pauli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Holstein Kiel had 52% of the ball to St. Pauli's 48%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.50 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Holstein Kiel and 2.67 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli?
Holstein Kiel 1-2 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 36%, draw 24%, St. Pauli 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.