Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
5-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen saw off Union Berlin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 74% of the ball to Union Berlin's 26%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.87 to 0.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.17 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 58%, draw 23%, Union Berlin 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.