Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
65%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
4.0
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.6
2-3 Goals
34%
2.54
4-5 Goals
28%
2.29
6+ Goals
19%
3.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
10.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
15.7
1/X
6%
18.8
X/1
5%
15.25
X/2
20%
4.46
X/X
7%
9.95
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
36%
1.59
2/X
5%
16.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 15.7 — our 9% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.5pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.8pp
65%
Away Win
67%
-2.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.5pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 71%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.19/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.97
+43% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -17%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 503 · 85%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
9.5 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.83 xG 2.89
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
294 Passes 649
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
06.10.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 HT 2-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
27.04.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
09.12.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 HT 3-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
28.01.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.08.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-6 HT 0-5 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
0-3
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.32 xG 1.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
370 Passes 635
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih cruised past Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 39% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 61%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.32 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.83 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih?

Eintracht Frankfurt 0-3 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 17%, draw 18%, Bayern Münih 65%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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