Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Oct 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3 HT 2-2
Bayern Münih
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
58%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.33
2-3 Goals
35%
2.11
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.49
1/2
8%
18.8
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
11%
11.6
X/2
17%
4.1
X/X
9%
7.31
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.86
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
58%
Away Win
60%
-2.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 64%
+23% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.59/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.29
+93% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -37%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 86%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.4
15.1 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 2.64
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
258 Passes 611
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
09.12.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 HT 3-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
28.01.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.08.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-6 HT 0-5 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
26.02.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
03.10.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-2 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3-3
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.21 xG 2.18
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 13
0 Corners 11
235 Passes 777
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 69
0 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Münih shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Bayern Münih carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 26% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 74%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 1.21 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.00 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih?

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 23%, draw 19%, Bayern Münih 58%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern Münih) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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