Heidenheim 0-1 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.43
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.95
1/2
5%
21.15
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
5%
9.78
X/2
18%
4.13
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
33%
2.11
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 59%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.22/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.06
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
18.5 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
1W-2D-3L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 2.96
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
196 Passes 440
60% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-2 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
02.12.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
02.03.2016 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1 HT 0-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
18.09.2015 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-1 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL2
22.03.2015 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-0 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL2
06.10.2014 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
0-1
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.05 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
289 Passes 388
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig edged past Heidenheim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heidenheim had 45% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.05 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heidenheim and 1.50 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig?

Heidenheim 0-1 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 24%, draw 20%, RB Leipzig 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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