Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 6 Oct 2024

Stuttgart
1-1 HT 0-1
Hoffenheim
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
8.51
2-3 Goals
38%
2.38
4-5 Goals
30%
2.37
6+ Goals
15%
3.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.7
X/1
16%
3.88
X/2
6%
17.45
X/X
9%
9.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
17.65
2/2
7%
11.0
2/X
6%
19.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.65 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-10.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.00
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.6 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.20 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-3 HT 0-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
28.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-3 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
27.05.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
24.01.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
25.02.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
02.10.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1

Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-1
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.05 xG 0.89
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
595 Passes 251
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
45 Box Touches 22
44 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart and Hoffenheim couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Stuttgart carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stuttgart had 68% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 32%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.05 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stuttgart and 1.50 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim?

Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 59%, draw 21%, Hoffenheim 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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