Hoffenheim 0-3 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2024

Hoffenheim
0-3 HT 0-2
Stuttgart
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.35
2-3 Goals
37%
2.11
4-5 Goals
27%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.72
1/2
13%
19.3
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
10%
9.26
X/2
8%
4.53
X/X
10%
6.65
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.17
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.0pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 57%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -47%
1.52/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.37
-11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.4
17.1 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.57 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
343 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-3 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
27.05.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
24.01.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
25.02.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
02.10.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
14.03.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1

Hoffenheim 0-3 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
0-3
AWAY Stuttgart
0.51 xG 3.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 452
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart swept aside Hoffenheim 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 43% of the ball to Stuttgart's 57%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 0.51 to 3.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.83 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart?

Hoffenheim 0-3 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 30%, draw 24%, Stuttgart 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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