Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Union Berlin
AL1
3-1
HT 0-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
0-2
HT 0-2
Union Berlin
AL1
0-2
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin squeezed past Werder Bremen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Union Berlin found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 49% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 51%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Berlin and 0.67 for Werder Bremen.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen?
Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 39%, draw 32%, Werder Bremen 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.