Darmstadt 98 2-5 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2024

Darmstadt 98
2-5 HT 1-2
Bayern Münih
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
63%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.0
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
10.7
2-3 Goals
32%
2.63
4-5 Goals
36%
2.31
6+ Goals
15%
3.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
20.9
1/2
6%
18.9
1/X
4%
27.5
X/1
4%
32.0
X/2
11%
3.79
X/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.75
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
47%
1.26
2/X
6%
29.5
Value flag · X/X at 13.75 — our 11% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.1pp
21%
Draw
11%
+10.1pp
63%
Away Win
81%
-17.2pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Darmstadt 98 v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 85%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.43/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.05
-52% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -30%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
226 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 84%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.8
18.4 Crosses 20.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.70 xG 5.86
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
175 Passes 651
65% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 8-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
06.05.2017 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
18.12.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
20.02.2016 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
15.12.2015 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AFK
19.09.2015 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1

Darmstadt 98 2-5 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
2-5
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.18 xG 3.65
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 27
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
149 Passes 611
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 65
11 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih cruised past Darmstadt 98 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 24% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 76%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 1.18 to 3.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 2.83 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Münih?

Darmstadt 98 2-5 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 15%, draw 21%, Bayern Münih 63%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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