Bayern Münih 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.71
2-3 Goals
37%
2.15
4-5 Goals
31%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.76
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.55
X/1
16%
4.01
X/2
5%
12.8
X/X
8%
7.78
2/1
9%
18.5
2/2
8%
8.26
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.22/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.78
+22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
519 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.1 Crosses 13.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.45 xG 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
583 Passes 246
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 HT 3-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
28.01.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.08.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-6 HT 0-5 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
26.02.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
03.10.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-2 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
20.02.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 HT 2-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
2-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
3.36 xG 0.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
605 Passes 346
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih edged past Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 62% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 38%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.36 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern Münih's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.83 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Bayern Münih 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 62%, draw 20%, Eintracht Frankfurt 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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