RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
RB Leipzig
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AFK
2-1
HT 2-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
3-0
HT 2-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
1-4
HT 0-2
RB Leipzig
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
RB Leipzig 4-1 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
RB Leipzig cruised past Borussia Dortmund 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, RB Leipzig had 39% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 61%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.61 to 1.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.00 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
RB Leipzig 4-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 57%, draw 21%, Borussia Dortmund 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.