Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Werder Bremen v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Werder Bremen
AL2
1-1
HT 0-0
St. Pauli
AL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Werder Bremen
HAZ
1-3
HT 1-0
Werder Bremen
AL1
Werder Bremen 1-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Werder Bremen squeezed past St. Pauli 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Werder Bremen as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Werder Bremen had 41% of the ball to St. Pauli's 59%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.86 to 0.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Werder Bremen and 0.83 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli?
Werder Bremen 1-0 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 41%, draw 24%, St. Pauli 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.