Werder Bremen 0-0 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2025

Werder Bremen
0-0 HT 0-0
St. Pauli
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
16%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.77
X/2
10%
7.66
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.2
2/2
15%
5.64
2/X
7%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.48/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.49
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.7 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 372
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2024 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-2 HT 0-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
09.04.2022 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL2
30.10.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
22.07.2017 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen HAZ
23.04.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-3 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
28.11.2010 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1

Werder Bremen 0-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
0-0
AWAY St. Pauli
1.15 xG 0.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
398 Passes 386
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen and St. Pauli fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 51% of the ball to St. Pauli's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.15 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Werder Bremen and 0.83 for St. Pauli.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli?

Werder Bremen 0-0 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 44%, draw 25%, St. Pauli 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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