Bochum 1-1 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.24
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.32
X/2
12%
6.65
X/X
16%
4.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
20%
4.59
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
1.70/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.39
-19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
382 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
23.4 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Berlin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 292
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-2 Bochum Bochum AL1
05.05.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-4 HT 0-3 Bochum Bochum AL1
16.12.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
16.04.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 1-1 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
23.10.2022 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
14.05.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-2 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-1
AWAY Union Berlin
1.51 xG 0.29
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
413 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum and Union Berlin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bochum had 66% of the ball to Union Berlin's 34%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bochum and 1.33 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Union Berlin?

Bochum 1-1 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bochum 36%, draw 27%, Union Berlin 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Berlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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