Union Berlin vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Bochum — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Bochum
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
3-2
HT 2-0
Bochum
AL1
0-1
HT 0-1
Union Berlin
AL1
2-2
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL2
Union Berlin 3-4 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics
Bochum nicked a narrow win over Union Berlin 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Union Berlin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 48% of the ball to Bochum's 52%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.94 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Berlin and 1.67 for Bochum.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Bochum?
Union Berlin 3-4 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Bochum?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 46%, draw 25%, Bochum 29%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.