Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 5 May 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
1-5 HT 1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
18%
6.23
X/2
12%
5.22
X/X
11%
4.91
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.22
2/X
9%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +25%
1.59/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.34
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 81%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.6 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.59 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
401 Passes 464
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
08.04.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
15.10.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
02.05.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
12.12.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-2 HT 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
24.04.2021 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1-5
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.95 xG 2.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
442 Passes 355
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen ran out comfortable winners over Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bayer Leverkusen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 55% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 45%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.95 to 2.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.33 for Bayer Leverkusen.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 35%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 40%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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