Teplice 1-1 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.51/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.15
-16% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.4 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
04.02.2024 Teplice Teplice 5-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag HAZ
22.07.2022 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 4-1 HT 3-0 Teplice Teplice HAZ
23.11.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
16.11.2018 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-3 HT 0-2 Teplice Teplice ÇEKK
29.07.2018 Teplice Teplice 5-2 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
02.12.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-2 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
1-1
AWAY Dukla Prag
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 279
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice and Dukla Prag shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Teplice at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Teplice had 47% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 53%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Teplice and 1.33 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Dukla Prag?

Teplice 1-1 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Teplice 43%, draw 30%, Dukla Prag 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Teplice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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