Slovan Liberec 0-5 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.29
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
27.5 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 Passes 189
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-3 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
17.09.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
15.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
22.10.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
26.02.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
26.09.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
0-5
AWAY Jablonec
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
320 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec swept aside Slovan Liberec 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Liberec at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 48% of the ball to Jablonec's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.00 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Jablonec?

Slovan Liberec 0-5 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 42%, draw 28%, Jablonec 30%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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