Slovan Liberec 3-3 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.23/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.67
-17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jablonec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
15.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
22.10.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
26.02.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
26.09.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-1 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
20.03.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
3-3
AWAY Jablonec
1.47 xG 1.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 189
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec and Jablonec couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Liberec at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 59% of the ball to Jablonec's 41%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.47 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slovan Liberec and 0.83 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Jablonec?

Slovan Liberec 3-3 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 44%, draw 25%, Jablonec 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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