Teplice 2-2 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.54
-22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
10.05.2022 Karvina Karvina 2-2 HT 1-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
20.02.2022 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.09.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
23.05.2021 Karvina Karvina 2-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
30.01.2021 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
2-2
AWAY Karvina
1.78 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
277 Passes 226
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teplice and Karvina couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Teplice at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Teplice had 54% of the ball to Karvina's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.78 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Teplice and 1.17 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Karvina?

Teplice 2-2 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Teplice 50%, draw 25%, Karvina 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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