Falkirk vs Ayr United — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Falkirk
2-0 HT 1-0
Ayr United
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.65
Draw
26%
3.1
Away
33%
3.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.7
Over 2.5
46%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
1.79
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.37
X/2
10%
7.89
X/X
11%
4.83
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
16%
5.81
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +16%
1.54/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.65
-11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.07.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
05.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCK
13.03.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKK
20.07.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
08.03.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
05.01.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
Actual Match Statistics
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
2-0
AWAY Ayr United
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
6 Crosses 2
FAQ Falkirk vs Ayr United
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Falkirk beat Ayr United 2-0 in the Scotland - Championship on 5 Oct 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Falkirk had 47% of the ball to Ayr United's 53%, shots finished 13-6.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Falkirk and 0.67 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Ayr United?

Falkirk 2-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 41%, draw 26%, Ayr United 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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