Ayr United 1-0 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Jul 2024

Ayr United
1-0 HT 1-0
Falkirk
📅16/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Ayr United vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+10.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +126%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ayr United vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Falkirk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
05.09.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCK
13.03.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKK
20.07.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
08.03.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
05.01.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
03.11.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United squeezed past Falkirk 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ayr United and 1.17 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Falkirk?

Ayr United 1-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 43%, draw 25%, Falkirk 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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