Queen Of The South 2-0 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Jul 2024

Queen Of The South
2-0 HT 1-0
Dumbarton
📅16/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queen Of The South v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 31%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
4.01/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.06
+140% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +57%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
20.07.2019 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-4 HT 1-4 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKLK
10.03.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
02.01.2018 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
28.11.2017 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
19.08.2017 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
22.04.2017 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South beat Dumbarton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Queen Of The South as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Queen Of The South and 0.83 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton?

Queen Of The South 2-0 Dumbarton in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 43%, draw 23%, Dumbarton 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queen Of The South), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✓ BTTS No
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