Elgin City 1-1 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Jul 2024

Elgin City
1-1 HT 0-1
Kelty Hearts
📅16/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
36%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
51%
Away Win
39%
+11.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 43%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+103% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
19.03.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
05.02.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 4-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
25.01.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
11.09.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
20.07.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 1-3 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKLK
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City and Kelty Hearts shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kelty Hearts at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Elgin City and 1.60 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?

Elgin City 1-1 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 24%, draw 25%, Kelty Hearts 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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