Arbroath 0-2 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
9.57
Draw
28%
5.71
Away
47%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.89
Over 2.5
40%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.9
No
64%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
6.47
2-3 Goals
37%
2.13
4-5 Goals
17%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.47 — our 35% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
7%
+17.8pp
28%
Draw
14%
+14.3pp
47%
Away Win
79%
-32.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
31%
+28.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
69%
-28.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.3pp
64%
BTTS No
51%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 84%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.95/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.50/0.34
+146% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +127%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
08.04.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
02.01.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-4 HT 1-2 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
08.10.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
12.08.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
13.03.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
22.01.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC saw off Arbroath 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arbroath and 1.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Dundee FC?

Arbroath 0-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 25%, draw 28%, Dundee FC 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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